Where Is the Coronavirus Story Going?

I saw some reports from Reuters this morning:

“TOKYO, Aug 30 (Reuters) – Moderna Inc’s COVID-19 vaccine contamination woes in Japan have widened with another million doses being temporarily suspended, after foreign substances were found in more batches and two people died following shots from affected lots.

The suspension of Moderna supplies, affecting more than 2.6 million does in total, comes as Japan battles its worst wave of COVID-19 yet, driven by the contagious Delta variant, with new daily infections exceeding 25,000 this month for the first time amid a slow vaccine rollout.”

“Japan earlier halted the use of 1.63 million Moderna doses, shipped to 863 vaccination centres nationwide after the domestic distributor, Takeda Pharmaceutical received reports of contaminants in some vials.

Some 500,000 people received shots from those supplies, Taro Kono, the minister in charge of the vaccine push, has said.

Moderna and Spanish pharma company Rovi, which bottles Moderna vaccines for markets other than the United States, said at the time that the contamination could be due to a manufacturing issue in one of Rovi’s production lines.

Takeda said on Monday that the investigation is ongoing.

Rovi shares plunged more than 20% in early trade.”

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Here are the Covid infection graphs for France

United Kingdom

And Israel

In two of the “most” vaccinated countries UK and Israel, the case numbers are on the up. The quicker acting and more decisive Israelis have started giving a third booster shot to its population.

I am wondering if viral complacency is setting in, or a kind of fatigue, with imagined immunity causing risky behaviours.

In the UK massive festivals are underway and football is back on…

The UK will overtake France in terms of total number of Covid cases soon. It is again climbing the charts so to speak.

I have heard that UK univesities are putting on charter flights to bring fee paying Chinese students to help fill their depleted coffers, with a few Yuan…

Here mask wearing is still mandatory indoors in many places and the prefecture has introduced it in popular places externally as well. In the centre of our local town, you now have to wear a mask outdoors and whenever you are waiting in line. The restrictions will be reduced late September. Our incidence is ~150 per 100,000. The number of double vaccinated is up and I had to show my Pass Sanitaire before they let me into the clinic the other day. It was my first colonoscopy wearing a surgical mask. They even repositioned it over the oxygen feed.

It looks as if maintaining mask wearing keeps the numbers down and it has the psychological reminder inherent.

The fat lady has not yet sung, the pandemic is not over. The surge of “yeah we are free” optimism has started to fade. The irreversibility touted by Boris is not looking quite as irreversible as he may have hoped. This looks to be a long haul thing.

It looks like, depending on the Israel data, we shall all be getting a third booster shot. Ours will be from Moderna, the made in Spain variety.

Companies will be trialing, like Moderna is, their vaccines 2.0 and 3.0.

These companies will be onto a nice litte earner for the forseeable future, a nice ongoing revenue stream.

hmnn…